Poll:  US R ural/Urban  Political  Divisions  Also  Split  Suburban Areas

Poll: US R ural/Urban Political Divisions Also Split Suburban Areas

By Anne Rowe for DPS board, March 16, 2019

America’s residential areas are today’s great political battleground, long seen as an independent pivot between the country’s liberal cities and conservative little towns and rural area.

But it’s not that basic. It turns out that these locations in-between might be the most politically polarized of all — and when figuring out the partisan leanings of people living in the residential areas, where they came from makes a distinction.

Fewer suburbanites describe themselves as politically independent than do citizens of the country’s urban and rural locations, according to a study launched Tuesday by the University of Chicago Harris School for Public Policy and The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. The survey also found that the partisan leanings of rural residents are closely linked to whether they have formerly lived in a city.

“In the last years, especially in the past 5 years, I’ve felt a shift in having some liberal next-door neighbors,” stated Nancy Wieman, 63, a signed up Republican and strong conservative who has lived in suburban Jefferson County outside of Denver her whole life. “The ones who are considerably liberal have moved from Denver or other cities.”

Suburbanites who previously lived in a city are about as most likely as city-dwellers to call themselves Democrats, the survey found. Similarly, Americans living in residential areas who have never ever lived in an metropolitan location are about as likely as rural citizens to say they are Republican politician.

Just 15 percent of rural Americans say they are independent and do not lean towards a party, compared with 25 percent of urban Americans and 30 percent of rural Americans who call themselves politically independent.

That divide extends to the White House: 72 percent of ex-urban suburbanites disapprove of President Donald Trump’s performance in workplace, as do 77 percent of city homeowners. That compares with the 57 percent of suburbanites who have not formerly lived in a city and 54 percent of rural Americans who state they disapprove of the president.

Kevin Keelan moved from Denver to the stretching suburban areas of Jefferson County 16 years ago. As soon as a political independent, the 49- year-old registered as a Democrat a couple of years ago.

“Now it’s not even an option. I’d vote Democratic or independent, however there’s no way I can vote Republican any longer,” Keelan stated. “It’s simply being more open-minded, and I’d be that way if I was living here or in a loft downtown.”

Jefferson County is a cluster of neighborhoods and strip shopping centers gathered under the Rocky Mountain foothills. As soon as a right-leaning county, it has been improved by an increase of transplants from seaside, urban states. It now leans Democratic: The party swept countywide offices and won most of the state legislative districts there in 2018, and Hillary Clinton won the county by 7 percentage points in 2016.

Yet under that surface area, election results from 2016 show it is a deeply polarized location. In 118 precincts in Jefferson County, one of the candidates won by more than 10 points. Clinton won 60 precincts and Trump 58.

FILE -  Voters  cast  their  tallies  at  the  Denver  Elections  Division,  in  Denver,  Colorado,  Nov.  6,  2018.

FILE – Voters cast their ballots at the Denver Elections Department, in Denver, Colorado, Nov. 6, 2018.

“The gorge between the two sides is higher than ever,” said Libby Szabo, a Republican county commissioner. “It’s more difficult at this point, because the suitables are so various, to even change celebrations.”

The UChicago Harris/AP-NORC poll points to how that split between city and rural America echoes through the suburban areas.

About two-thirds of city dwellers state that legal immigration is a internet advantage to the United States, much as the 7 in 10 former city homeowners now living in the residential areas who state the very same. A smaller sized majority of suburbanites who have never ever lived in cities, 58 percent, and half of rural homeowners think the advantages of legal migration surpass the threats.

Urban locals are somewhat more most likely than rural citizens to believe the U.S. ought to be active in world affairs, 37 percent to 24 percent. That mirrors the split in between suburbanites who utilized to live in cities and those who never ever have: 32 percent of the former favor an active U.S. role, compared with 23 percent of the latter.

About 6 in 10 city locals and ex-urban suburbanites state that the way things are going in the U.S. will get worse this year, while less than half of rural citizens or suburbanites with no city experience believe the very same.

S. A. Campbell is a basic contractor who lives in the Kansas City suburban areas of Johnson County, Kansas, which swung toward the Democrats in 2018 as it replaced a four-term Republican congressman with a Democratic woman who is an openly gay Native American. It is typically compared to Jefferson County, with its extremely informed population, high-quality schools and increase of previous city dwellers.

Campbell, 60, said his youth in Kansas City is part of what made him a fan of Democrats; his moms and dads were both instructors active in their union, and his mother was a fan of Planned Parenthood.

“When you’ve been raised in a particular fashion, your view of the world is more open than if you grew up in a home that wasn’t that,” he stated.

Greg Stern, the recently chosen clerk in Jefferson County, has lived in New York City and invested parts of his youth on a remote Colorado ranch. He sees partisan attitudes hardening in the residential areas much as they have in urban and rural parts of the nation.

But, he said, there’s a secret distinction: While there may be less independents in the suburban areas, the mixture of loyal Democrats and Republicans discovered there suggests it’s still a place for both sides.

“You’re welcome regardless of your political beliefs,” said Stern, a Democrat and volunteer firemen in a rural department with a broad variety of political views in the station. “It ends up being harder to live in rural or city areas if your political beliefs don’t match those of the majority of the individuals who live there.”